11 reasons why the war against Iran is not an option

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Iran_ War_ Donald_Trump
US President has signed an order that places economic barriers against the Iranian Supreme Leader – photo source Indian Express.

The United States of America is all up for war against Iran especially in the events following the shot down of US surveillance drone over the strategic Strait of Hormuz. President Donald Trump after withdrawing from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) is tightening the noose around Iran in terms of economic sanctions. In a recent development, President Donald Trump has signed an order placing the sanctions against Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatullah Ali Khamenei and other officials based in Iran.

US rifts with North Korea and Donald Trump’s trust deficit on Kim Jong Un was not still over despite a high profile meeting with the latter yet another burning issue of inter-state conflict between the US and Iran has emerged. Although the US has a history of imposing war on the countries including Iraq and Afghanistan and the bitter experience in these states won’t favor any further war-looming within the region.

Here are 10 reasons to explain why the war against Iran is not an option despite a strong military power and modern ammunition possessed by the United States of America.

Tensions in Strait of Hormuz

The Strait of Hormuz facilitates the oil export to Asia, Europe, North America and many other countries of the world. Tensions in the Gulf region will affect the oil transport worth 11 billion barrels per day. Iran also exports its oil from the Strait of Hormuz and tensions in Iran would ultimately propel the world into a new economic war-front by affecting the oil exports and imports.

Iran’s Supreme Leader has already warned that if Iran’s oil export will be stopped then no other country will be carrying the oil from the Strait of Hormuz.

China’s investment initiative and war in Iran

War against Iran will heighten the tensions in the region and this is what exactly against China’s policy of trade and investment. China already has confrontations with the US in the South China Sea about thousands of miles away from the US territory.

War sufficiently damages the trade and investment for prolonged periods so China and Russia the emerging dominant powers in the region won’t let American hegemony in the region.

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Oil and prices of goods

An effect on oil transport from the oil-rich country will also affect the prices of goods and services by increasing risk management during transport.

UN’s stance

The UN Secretary-General has proposed an independent inquiry into the tanker attacks that were carried out in May and June. Saudi Arabia and the US backs the stance that Iranian hand was all behind the attacks on mass transit carrying oil. Iran has declined the allegations of oil tanker attacks erstwhile.

US surveillance drone

Iran has shot down the US surveillance drone which it said was in violation of Iran’s territorial integrity. The US or any other country has no right to overpower the territorial rights of any sovereign state. Any state in the world must respect another country’s territorial integrity as per international norms. Iran has said that it will continue to take further actions if it finds anything violating its sovereign rights.

Internal conflicts in the US over Iran policy

There are reports of internal conflicts within America’s governing circles towards Donald Trump’s hawkish policy for Iran. There exists a difference of opinion within the US government on the issue of Iran.

 Full-scale invasion to Iran

It is America that has jumped out of the P5+1 Nuclear Deal with Iran not the other US allies including the European States and other countries. Other countries that were part of JCPOA maintained to continue the deal with Iran.

Country Specific sanctions against Iran

Another aspect that indicates America’s military prowess is that all the sanctions leveled against Iran are the US-specific whereas most of the sanctions imposed by the UN were lifted after Iran signed JCPOA in 2015.

Iran’s Chabahar Port

Iran’s Chabahar port which is also considered complementary to the Gwadar port of Pakistan is crucial to Iran and the countries including India linking India to landlocked Afghanistan. India’s former foreign minister Sushma Swaraj had already mentioned in an official statement that country-specific sanctions against Iran are unacceptable.

War in Syria, Egypt, Yemen, Libya, and Iraq

Many Muslim countries in the region are already facing war-like situations and America’s readiness towards attacking Iran pinpoints towards its next target in the region. The statement issued by David Cameron related to the attack on Iraq was enough to thwart the false designs of the US. On similar grounds, the US is searching for options to wage a full-scale war against Iran.

Pakistan can’t support the war in Iran

Pakistan’s experience on the Afghanistan front has been a bitter experience for the country as it is still fighting to cope with the unrest caused by the then sequence of events from the arrival of migrants to Kalashinkov culture in the country. Pakistan is a Muslim majority country having ethnic diversity and any anti-Iran move will be tantamount to inviting ethnic discord within its boundaries. Also, the country shares its border with Iran and flames in Iran will likely to harm the immediate neighbors.

 

 

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