Is war expected as present-day Turkey is repeating Ottoman period alliances?
"If the European countries break their unity and become involved in a festering conflict, anything can happen again"
An Associate Professor for the Institute for European Studies, Koert Debeuf, has stated that Turkey seems to be heading towards war with Europe in a potential conflict last seen during the Ottoman times.
The Turkish and Greek governments are exchanging political blows over regional rights in the Mediterranean. Greece is talking about war, while Turkey refuses to negotiate its oil and gas claims in Greek-claimed waters.
Current Mediterranean Situation & Old Times
The Professor added, “In some ways, the Mediterranean’s current situation reflects those historical times. Today there are two enemy alliances, just as there were in 1914 when Italy, Germany, Austria, and Hungary faced Britain, Russia and, France. War against one country meant war against all.”
There is currently the ‘revolutionary alliance’ of Turkey, Qatar, Iran, and the Muslim Brotherhood. They are striving for influence with the ‘status-quo entente’ of the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, and Egypt Debeuf said.
Today, Europe is again conferring signs of division. Greece, France, and Cyprus support the status-quo entente, while Malta and Spain support the ‘revolutionary alliance.’ Italy is traversing between the two, depending on its interests, Debeuf said.
However, the stakes are much more powerful than mere words and business agreements, he said.
In July this year, a Turkish naval vessel radar targeted a French frigate when France attempted to investigate a cargo ship for suspected smuggled weapons destined for Libya. A month later, The Turkish and Greek military ships collided.
Following the incident, France sent ships and fighter jets to Greece, while the UAE sent F-16s to the Greek island of Crete. Egypt, carrying a military build-up on the border with Libya, is threatening action against the Turkish-backed forces in Libya to extend an advance to take territory near its petroleum reserves.
Just as in 1914, none of these countries want a Great War; they only ought to protect their national interests, just like they did a century ago, Debeuf said.
“But if the European countries break their unity and become involved in a festering conflict, anything can happen again,” he said.
This recent escalation between Greece and Turkey which is slowly edging towards the brink of war shows what a timely decision it was by Ankara to purchase S400s. God forbid if there is war, S400s will be a game changer for Turkey. pic.twitter.com/1VV4UinArA
— Yusuf Erim (@YusufErim34) August 31, 2020
While citing Colonel Mustafa Kemal, known as Ataturk and the father of modern Turkey, Debeuf said, “This is very threatening. It is not clear which direction we shall head.”
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